Part 1: Risk Adjustment

1. What Is Risk Adjustment? Risk Adjustment is a methodology used to adjust payments based on the expected healthcare costs of members. It uses demographics and medical diagnoses to calculate a risk score so that health plans are fairly compensated for higher-risk patients.

2. Two Main Risk Adjustment Models

FeatureCMS-HCC (Medicare Advantage)HHS-HCC (ACA / Commercial)
Target PopulationMedicare Advantage (65+ and disabled)Commercial (Individual & Small Group, all ages)
FundingDirect government capitation paymentsBudget-neutral risk transfer between plans
TimeframeProspective (uses prior year data)Concurrent (uses current year data)
Primary UseMedicare Advantage paymentsACA Marketplace risk transfers

3. Key CMS-HCC Concepts (Most Relevant to My Experience)

  • RAF (Risk Adjustment Factor): Score representing predicted costs (1.0 = average)
  • HCC (Hierarchical Condition Category): Groups of diagnoses with assigned risk weights
  • V24 vs V28: V28 is the current model (fully effective 2026) with 115 HCCs, constraining methodology, and fewer mapped ICD-10 codes
  • RADV Audits: CMS audits to validate that submitted diagnoses are supported by medical records

4. My Professional Experience

  • Worked with CMS-HCC from 2016 to 2019
  • Worked with HHS-HCC from 2020–2021 and 2024–2025
  • Deep understanding of both models, including their differences in methodology, documentation requirements, and compliance implications


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